Personal profile
Current Research Interests
Understanding the causes of climate change over the last thousand years, in order to improve predictions of the future. My research incorporates running climate models and using the results to study observed climate variability, disentangling the influence of external forcings from internally variability.
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Approaches, challenges, and applications of climate change impact attribution
Undorf, S., Dimitrova, A., Harrington, L. J., Hegerl, G., Jézéque, A., Kimutai, J., Lo, Y. T. E., Mengel, M., Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S., Pietroiusti, R., Pinto, I., Schurer, A., Scussolini, P., Sippel, S., Stone, D., Stuart-Smith, R., Gudmundsson, L., Huber, V., Colón-González, F. J. & Dellicour, S. & 16 others, , 7 May 2026, (Accepted/In press) In: Nature Reviews Earth & Environment.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
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Assessing the Ability of Tree-Ring Derived Aridity Records to Detect Compound Drought and Heatwave Events
Taylor, K. L., Evans, M. N., Schurer, A. P. & Hegerl, G. C., 24 Mar 2026, (E-pub ahead of print) In: Journal of Climate.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Open AccessFile -
Importance of beginning industrial-era climate simulations in the eighteenth century
Ballinger, A. P., Schurer, A., Hegerl, G. C., Dittus, A., Hawkins, E., Cornes, R., Kent, E., Marshall, L., Morice, C. P., Osborn, T., Rayner, N. & Rumbold, S., 6 Jan 2026, In: Environmental Research Letters. 21, 1, 014022.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Open AccessFile -
An observational record of global gridded near surface air temperature change over land and ocean from 1781
Morice, C. P., Berry, D. I., Cornes, R. C., Cowtan, K., Cropper, T., Hawkins, E., Kennedy, J. J., Osborn, T. J., Rayner, N. A., Rivas, B. R., Schurer, A. P., Taylor, M., Teleti, P. R., Wallis, E. J., Winn, J. & Kent, E. C., 15 Dec 2025, In: Earth System Science Data. 17, 12, p. 7079–7100,Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Open AccessFile -
Last-millennium volcanic forcing and climate response using SO2 emissions
Marshall, L. R., Schmidt, A., Schurer, A. P., Abraham, N. L., Lücke, L. J., Wilson, R., Anchukaitis, K. J., Hegerl, G. C., Johnson, B., Otto-Bliesner, B. L., Brady, E. C., Khodri, M. & Yoshida, K., 27 Jan 2025, In: Climate of the Past. 21, 1, p. 161-184Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Open AccessFile
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HEARTH: national hub onNet zero, health and extreme heat
Doherty, R. (Principal Investigator) & Schurer, A. (Co-investigator)
13/02/25 → 12/02/30
Project: Research
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Attributable impacts from extreme weather events
Schurer, A. (Principal Investigator)
1/07/24 → 30/09/28
Project: Research
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TITAN
Hegerl, G. (Principal Investigator), Tett, S. (Co-investigator), Browne, O. (Researcher), Krueger, O. (Researcher), Polson, D. (Researcher) & Schurer, A. (Researcher)
1/02/13 → 31/01/19
Project: Research
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Causes of Changes in Seasonal Temperature, drought and dynamics over the last Millenium
Hegerl, G. (Principal Investigator) & Schurer, A. (Researcher)
1/10/10 → 31/05/12
Project: Research
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LastMill: Causes of change in European mean and extreme climate over the past 500 years
Hegerl, G. (Principal Investigator), Schurer, A. (Researcher) & Tett, S. (Researcher)
1/10/10 → 20/12/13
Project: Research
Datasets
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Supporting material for "Importance of the Pre-Industrial Baseline in Determining the Likelihood of Exceeding the Paris Limits"
Schurer, A. (Creator), Edinburgh DataShare, 30 Dec 2017
DOI: 10.7488/ds/2092
Dataset
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HadCM3 model data used in the article "Seasonal long-term trends during the last Millennium strongly influenced by orbital forcing" by Lucie Luecke, Andrew Schurer, Rob Wilson and Gabriele Hegerl
Luecke, L. (Creator) & Schurer, A. (Creator), Edinburgh DataShare, 17 Sept 2021
DOI: 10.7488/ds/3136, https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL088776
Dataset
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[CODE] Combining temperature and precipitation to constrain the aerosol contribution to observed climate change
Roesch, C. M. (Creator), Ballinger, A. P. (Creator), Schurer, A. P. (Creator) & Hegerl, G. C. (Creator), Zenodo, 14 Dec 2023
Dataset
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Euroclim500 - HadCM3 simulation data
Schurer, A. (Creator), The British Atmospheric Data Centre, 4 Dec 2014
http://badc.nerc.ac.uk/browse/badc/euroclim500 and one more link, https://catalogue.ceda.ac.uk/uuid/9b51eb5d44524e4c9aebcbbc53d79a27 (show fewer)
Dataset
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Continuation part of CMIP5/PMIP3 HadCM3 past1000 simulation
Mineter, M. (Creator), Schurer, A. (Creator) & Tett, S. (Creator), Edinburgh DataShare, 3 Mar 2021
DOI: 10.7488/ds/2995
Dataset
Press/Media
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New data raises questions about how much the Earth has warmed
15/12/25
1 Media contribution
Press/Media: Research
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New data raises questions about how much the Earth has warmed
Recinos Rivas, B. & Schurer, A.
15/12/25
1 item of Media coverage
Press/Media: Research
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This research has generated news stories by more than 100 media outlets inc. BBC News, Science and The Guardian
7/06/23
1 item of Media coverage
Press/Media: Research
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Dr Andrew Schurer (Geosciences) claims that the sun is not a key driver of climate change
30/12/16
1 item of Media coverage
Press/Media: Research
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Climate change not coming to a halt, says Dr Andrew Schurer
20/07/15
7 items of Media coverage
Press/Media: Research