Personal profile
Biography
I am Professor of General Practice at the University of Edinburgh where I carry out applied research to translate basic and clinical research into effective and reliable clinical practice. I was previously a Medical Research Council Health Services Research Fellow at University of Edinburgh, an National Institute for Health Research post-doctoral research fellow at University of Dundee, a 2006/7 Commonwealth Fund Harkness Fellow in Healthcare Policy at University of California San Francisco where I was also a Visiting Professor in 2010, and Professor of Primary Care Medicine at University of Dundee. I have served on multiple grant panels (including Wellcome, MRC, NIHR), contribute to undergraduate and postgraduate medical teaching, and supervise and examine MSc and PhD students in Edinburgh and other universities. As well as conducting research, I serve or have served on a number of National Health Service advisory bodies, including the National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence (NICE) Quality and Outcomes Framework Indicators Advisory Committee (which recommended which quality indicators should be included in the UK primary care pay for performance programme) where I chaired the Thresholds, Review and Retiral Sub-committee, and the Scottish Government Polypharmacy Working Group. I was the chair of the guideline development group of the NICE Multimorbidity Clinical Guideline, and during COVID-19, I was a member of the SAGE Social Care Working Group.
Research Interests
My main research interests are the quality and safety of healthcare, particularly in primary care and currently focused on multimorbidity and prescribing quality and safety including polypharmacy. I am a mixed methods researcher and collaborate with researchers from a wide range of disciplines and institutions. The methods I use include quantitative analysis of large, routine datasets; cluster randomised trials with mixed methods parallel process evaluations; and qualitative analysis of interview and observational data. My recent and current work includes morbidity clustering, development and evaluation of interventions to improve outcomes in multimorbidity and polypharmacy, improving clinical risk prediction in the face of multimorbidity and older age, and examination of the applicability of trial evidence to clinical populations. I am co-lead of the Primary Care and Multimorbidity Research Group and Director of the Advanced Care Research Centre which is an interdisciplinary collaboration involving academics from several universities and multiple disciplines (medicine, informatics, engineering, social and political sciences, geography, literature languages and culture, architecture). Other recent collaborations include the AIM-CISC (AI and Multiple Long Term Conditions) programme, and the Wellcome Trust Multimorbidity PhD Programme for Healthcare Professionals.
External positions
NHS Research Scotland Primary Care Research Champion, NHS Research Scotland Primary Care Network
1 May 2014 → 1 Jan 2022
Keywords
- R Medicine (General)
- RM Therapeutics. Pharmacology
- Prescribing quality and safety
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Collaborations and top research areas from the last five years
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Delirium, long-term conditions, and incident dementia in older adults admitted to hospital for emergency care in Lothian, Scotland: a population-based cohort study
Penfold, R. S., MacRae, C., Sampson, E. L., Davis, D. H., Anand, A., Ely, E. W., Guthrie, B. & MacLullich, A. M., 16 Apr 2026, In: The Lancet Healthy Longevity. 7, 3, 10 p., 100832.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
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Primary care and community interventions for multimorbidity involving depression or anxiety: A systematic review with meta-analysis
Sweeney, K., Gilarova, M., Ng, L., Baker, J., Maxwell, S., MacRae, C., Mercer, S. W., Anand, A., Guthrie, B. & Stirland, L., 10 Apr 2026, (E-pub ahead of print) In: BMJ Medicine.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
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Neighbourhood social gifting and multiple long-term conditions: a nationally representative analysis of the Scottish population aged 40-75 years
Zheng, C., Abubakar, E., Keenan, K., Halliday, K., Dibben, C., Guthrie, B., Marshall, A. D. & Pearce, J., 1 Apr 2026, In: European Journal of Public Health. 36, 2, ckaf238.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
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Natural language processing for geriatric syndromes: a systematic review of methods, applications, and challenges
Rahman, F., Guellil, I., Hasan, A., Zhang, H., Falis, M., Casey, A., Wu, H., Guthrie, B. & Alex, B., 12 Mar 2026, (E-pub ahead of print) In: Bmc medical informatics and decision making.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
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Rethinking clinical trials in the multimorbidity era: The imperative for patient-centered tailored approaches
González-González, A. I., Fabbri, E., Schurmann, L., Blom, J., Puzhko, S., Calderón-Larrañaga, A., Grede, N., Guthrie, B., Hanf, M., Meyer, G., Perera, R., Rijken, M., Scherer, M., Smith, S. M., Steinman, M. A., Straus, S., Valderas, J. M., van den Akker, M., Montori, V. M. & Muth, C., 27 Feb 2026, (E-pub ahead of print) In: Journal of Clinical Epidemiology. 112204.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Open AccessFile
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A systems approach to improving care experiences and outcomes in co-resident carer-care recipient dyads living with multiple long-term conditions in later life
Arakelyan, S. (Principal Investigator), Anand, A. (Co-investigator), Guthrie, B. (Co-investigator), Jacko, J. (Co-investigator) & Marshall, A. (Co-investigator)
1/10/25 → 30/09/29
Project: Research
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Assessng the impact of different models of integrating new or extended roles into primary care: A comparative analysis of England and Scotland
Mercer, S. (Principal Investigator) & Guthrie, B. (Co-investigator)
1/07/25 → 31/08/27
Project: Research
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PHOENIx for severe and multiple disadvantage
Lowrie, R. (Principal Investigator), Guthrie, B. (Co-investigator), Holloway, A. (Co-investigator), Johnsen, S. (Co-investigator), Lewis, S. (Co-investigator), Mercer, S. (Co-investigator), Moir, J. (Co-investigator) & Stoddart, A. (Co-investigator)
Economic and Social Research Council
1/07/24 → 31/01/27
Project: Research
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CHAI - EPSRC AI Hub for Causality in Healthcare AI with Real Data
Tsaftaris, S. (Principal Investigator), Baillie, K. (Co-investigator), Beentjes, S. (Co-investigator), Crowley, E. (Co-investigator), Escudero Rodriguez, J. (Co-investigator), Gouk, H. (Co-investigator), Guthrie, B. (Co-investigator), Harrison, E. (Co-investigator), Khamseh, A. (Co-investigator), King, R. (Co-investigator), Nazarpour, K. (Co-investigator), Parsons, M. (Co-investigator), Ramamoorthy, R. (Co-investigator), Seth, S. (Co-investigator), Simpson, I. (Co-investigator) & Whiteley, W. (Co-investigator)
Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council
1/02/24 → 31/01/29
Project: Research
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Research and Infrastructure Pillar 3: Useable Data: Phenomics and Prognostic Atlas
Guthrie, B. (Principal Investigator)
1/04/23 → 31/03/28
Project: Research
Datasets
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Smoking coding
Romero Moreno, G. (Creator), Guthrie, B. (Creator), Palmer, J. (Creator), MacRae, C. (Creator), Galdi, P. (Creator) & De Ferrari, L. (Creator), Zenodo, 8 Jul 2024
Dataset
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Code lists of the AIM-CISC project (ACRC, University of Edinburgh)
DE FERRARI, L. (Creator), Guthrie, B. (Creator), Galdi, P. (Creator) & Romero Moreno, G. (Creator), Zenodo, 4 Jul 2024
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.12650578, https://zenodo.org/records/12646993
Dataset
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Alcohol coding
Romero Moreno, G. (Creator), Guthrie, B. (Creator), Palmer, J. (Creator), MacRae, C. (Creator), Galdi, P. (Creator) & De Ferrari, L. (Creator), Zenodo, 20 Mar 2025
Dataset
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Identification of diabetes records and implementation of algorithm to determine type of diabetes in AIM-CISC
Prigge, R. (Creator), Guthrie, B. (Creator), Palmer, J. (Creator) & De Ferrari, L. (Creator), Zenodo, 9 Jul 2024
Dataset