A new ordinal mixed-data sampling model with an application to corporate credit rating levels

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

In this paper we propose a new ordinal logistic regression model (OLMIDAS) that allows the inclusion of independent variables at higher frequencies than that of the dependent variable. A simulation study shows that our proposed model can find the true patterns in the data. In an empirical study we apply OLMIDAS to the prediction of corporate credit rating levels and compare its performance to classical logistic regression models with an annual aggregation of the higher-frequency variable, such as ordinal logistic regression and multinomial logistic regression. We find that OLMIDAS outperforms the classical logistic regression model while providing additional knowledge of the structure of the higher-frequency explanatory variable
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)1111-1126
Number of pages16
JournalEuropean Journal of Operational Research
Volume314
Issue number3
Early online date18 Oct 2023
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 May 2024

Keywords / Materials (for Non-textual outputs)

  • OR in banking
  • ordinal regression
  • credit ratings
  • Mixed-Frequency Models
  • MIDAS

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