Abstract
In this paper we propose a new ordinal logistic regression model (OLMIDAS) that allows the inclusion of independent variables at higher frequencies than that of the dependent variable. A simulation study shows that our proposed model can find the true patterns in the data. In an empirical study we apply OLMIDAS to the prediction of corporate credit rating levels and compare its performance to classical logistic regression models with an annual aggregation of the higher-frequency variable, such as ordinal logistic regression and multinomial logistic regression. We find that OLMIDAS outperforms the classical logistic regression model while providing additional knowledge of the structure of the higher-frequency explanatory variable
Original language | English |
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Pages (from-to) | 1111-1126 |
Number of pages | 16 |
Journal | European Journal of Operational Research |
Volume | 314 |
Issue number | 3 |
Early online date | 18 Oct 2023 |
DOIs | |
Publication status | Published - 1 May 2024 |
Keywords / Materials (for Non-textual outputs)
- OR in banking
- ordinal regression
- credit ratings
- Mixed-Frequency Models
- MIDAS