Abnormal investment and firm performance

Siqi Liu, Chao Yin, Yeqin Zeng*

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract / Description of output

We find a negative relation between abnormal investment and future stock performance. Such a negative relation is mainly driven by under-investment, not over-investment. Our results are robust to various estimation methods and investment models. Both delayed market reaction and agency issues may lead to the apparently anomalous return predictability of under-investment. First, market investors may not react promptly to the fundamental information contained in under-investment about a firm's future profitability, asset growth, and financial distress probability. Second, the negative relation between under-investment and future stock returns is more pronounced for firms with lower investor monitoring and higher agency costs.

Original languageEnglish
Article number101886
Pages (from-to)1-18
Number of pages18
JournalInternational Review of Financial Analysis
Volume78
Early online date13 Sept 2021
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Nov 2021

Keywords / Materials (for Non-textual outputs)

  • abnormal investment
  • agency costs
  • investment
  • market efficiency
  • stock performance

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