Analysing uncertainties for CCS: From historical analogues to future deployment pathways in the UK

Hannah Chalmers, Jon Gibbins, Rob Gross, Stuart Haszeldine, Phil Heptonstall, Florian Kern, Nils Markusson, Peter Pearson, Jim Watson, Mark Winskel

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle


Whilst carbon capture and storage (CCS) technologies are now in the demonstration phase, they are still characterised by a range of technical, economic, policy, social and legal uncertainties. This paper presents the results of an interdisciplinary research project funded by the UK Energy Research Centre (UKERC). The aim of the project was to analyse the main uncertainties facing potential investors in CCS and policy makers wishing to support these technologies through demonstration to commercial deployment. The paper presents a framework for the analysis of these uncertainties, and applies this framework to nine analogue case studies of CCS. These case studies have focused on historical developments in technologies and/or policy frameworks where one or more of these uncertainties has been prominent and have, in most cases, been partly resolved. The paper also shows applies the insights from these historical case studies to develop three potential pathways for CCS deployment in the UK over the period to 2030. Finally, the paper concludes with some implications for CCS policies and strategies.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)7668-7679
Number of pages12
JournalEnergy Procedia
Publication statusPublished - 1 Dec 2013


  • Carbon capture and storage
  • Innovation
  • Policy
  • Uncertainty


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