TY - JOUR
T1 - Applying air pollution modelling within a multi-criteria decision analysis framework to evaluate UK air quality policies
AU - Chalabi, Zaid
AU - Milojevic, Ai
AU - Doherty, Ruth
AU - Stevenson, David
AU - MacKenzie, Ian
AU - Milner, James
AU - Vieno, Massimo
AU - Williams, Martin
AU - Wilkinson, Paul
PY - 2017/8/24
Y1 - 2017/8/24
N2 - A decision support system for evaluating UK air quality policies is presented. It combines the output from a chemistry transport model, a health impact model and other impact models within a multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) framework. As a proof-of-concept, the MCDA framework is used to evaluate and compare idealized emission reduction policies in four sectors (combustion in energy and transformation industries, non-industrial combustion plants, road transport and agriculture) and across six outcomes or criteria (mortality, health inequality, greenhouse gas emissions, biodiversity, crop yield and air quality legal compliance). To illustrate a realistic use of the MCDA framework, the relative importance of the criteria were elicited from a number of stakeholders acting as proxy policy makers. In the prototype decision problem, we show that reducing emissions from industrial combustion (followed very closely by road transport and agriculture) is more advantageous than equivalent reductions from the other sectors when all the criteria are taken into account. Extensions of the MCDA framework to support policy makers in practice are discussed.
AB - A decision support system for evaluating UK air quality policies is presented. It combines the output from a chemistry transport model, a health impact model and other impact models within a multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) framework. As a proof-of-concept, the MCDA framework is used to evaluate and compare idealized emission reduction policies in four sectors (combustion in energy and transformation industries, non-industrial combustion plants, road transport and agriculture) and across six outcomes or criteria (mortality, health inequality, greenhouse gas emissions, biodiversity, crop yield and air quality legal compliance). To illustrate a realistic use of the MCDA framework, the relative importance of the criteria were elicited from a number of stakeholders acting as proxy policy makers. In the prototype decision problem, we show that reducing emissions from industrial combustion (followed very closely by road transport and agriculture) is more advantageous than equivalent reductions from the other sectors when all the criteria are taken into account. Extensions of the MCDA framework to support policy makers in practice are discussed.
U2 - 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2017.08.057
DO - 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2017.08.057
M3 - Article
SN - 1352-2310
VL - 167
SP - 466
EP - 475
JO - Atmospheric Environment
JF - Atmospheric Environment
ER -