Assessing operating regimes of CCS power plants in high wind and energy storage scenarios

This paper investigates the operating regimes of CCS power plants in future generation portfolios with large amounts of variable-output wind generation. An advanced electricity system dispatch model is developed and coupled with a Monte Carlo based energy storage optimization model to simulate the least-cost dispatch of an assumed thermal-energy storage generation portfolio with CCS. A historic high-resolution wind speed reanalysis dataset is employed and the proposed locations of future wind farms are used to produce plausible and internally consistent wind capacity deployment scenarios. Fundamental structural changes occur to CCS operating profiles and start-up/shut-down schedules with increasing wind capacity, creating seasonal and diurnal variations and potential flexibility implications. Non-linear interactions between flexible CCS power plants and other energy vectors are demonstrated for an illustrative case study example in Great Britain. This temporally explicit analysis of the short-term scheduling decisions of thermal plants with CCS highlights the asymmetric displacement of mid-merit thermal plants and the importance of using time-dependent start-up costs in wind-based unit commitment studies.