@inproceedings{b46b9d174a3a4f4e9e37378e208d1d15,
title = "Assessing the impact of climate change on extreme flows across Great Britain",
abstract = "Climate projections are predicted to result in the increase of UK properties at risk from flooding. It thus becomes urgent to assess the possible impact of these changes on extreme high flows in particular, and evaluate the uncertainties related to these projections. This paper aims to assess the changes in extreme runoff for the 100-year return level across Great Britain. It is based on the Future Flow database and analyses daily runoff over 1961-2098. The Generalized ExtremeValue (GEV) distribution function is automatically fitted over the baseline and the 2080s for 281 gauging stations. The analysis evaluates the uncertainty related to the GEV, and to the climate model parameterization. Then it assesses return levels with combined uncertainties. Results show that the west coast of the whole country presents the lowest climate model and probabilistic distribution uncertainties. The climate model parameterization provides greater uncertainty than the GEV distribution function.",
author = "L. Collet and L. Beevers and C. Prudhomme",
note = "Publisher Copyright: {\textcopyright} 2016 Taylor & Francis Group, London.; 4th European Congress of the International Association of Hydroenvironment engineering and Research, IAHR 2016 ; Conference date: 27-07-2016 Through 29-07-2016",
year = "2016",
month = oct,
day = "16",
doi = "10.1201/b21902-146",
language = "English",
isbn = "9781138029774",
series = "Sustainable Hydraulics in the Era of Global Change - Proceedings of the 4th European Congress of the International Association of Hydroenvironment engineering and Research, IAHR 2016",
publisher = "CRC Press",
pages = "877--883",
editor = "Sebastien Erpicum and Benjamin Dewals and Pierre Archambeau and Michel Pirotton",
booktitle = "Sustainable Hydraulics in the Era of Global Change - Proceedings of the 4th European Congress of the International Association of Hydroenvironment engineering and Research, IAHR 2016",
}