Asset pricing with downside liquidity risks

Sean A. Anthonisz, Tālis Putniņš

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

We develop a parsimonious liquidity-adjusted downside capital asset pricing model to investigate whether phenomena such as downward liquidity spirals and flights to liquidity impact expected asset returns.We find strong empirical support for the model. Downside liquidity risk (sensitivity of stock liquidity to negative market returns) has an economically meaningful return premium that is 10 times larger than its symmetric analogue. The expected liquidity level and downside market risk are also associated with meaningful return premiums. Downside liquidity risk and its associated premium are higher during periods of low marketwide liquidity and for stocks that are relatively small, illiquid, volatile, and have high book-to-market ratios. These results are consistent with investors requiring compensation for holding assets susceptible to adverse liquidity phenomena. Our findings suggest that mitigation of downside liquidity risk can lower firms' cost of capital.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)2397-2771
JournalManagement Science
Volume63
Issue number8
Early online date31 May 2016
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Aug 2017

Keywords

  • conditional moment
  • downside risk
  • liquidity risk
  • liquidity spiral
  • pricing kernel

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