Capacity value of large tidal barrages

J Radtke; S Couch; C Dent

doi:10.1109/PMAPS.2010.5528894

Capacity value of large tidal barrages

J Radtke, S Couch, C Dent

School of Mathematics

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Conference contribution

Abstract

This paper presents for the first time a detailed capacity value calculation for tidal barrage generation, based on modelling of operational modes for the proposed 8 GW Severn Barrage scheme in Great Britain. The key finding is that the Effective Load Carrying Capability is very low as a percentage of installed capacity (less than 10% for the example presented here). This is because of the high probability of having zero available output at time of peak demand, if peak demand occurs on the wrong part of the tidal cycle; this result may be explained transparently using a simple two-state model of the barrage. The prospects for building a probabilistic model of tidal barrage availability are also discussed.

Original language	English
Title of host publication	IEEE 11th International Conference on Probabilistic Methods Applied to Power Systems (PMAPS)
Place of Publication	Singapore
Publisher	Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE)
Number of pages	6
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1109/PMAPS.2010.5528894
Publication status	Published - 2010

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10.1109/PMAPS.2010.5528894

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title = "Capacity value of large tidal barrages",

abstract = "This paper presents for the first time a detailed capacity value calculation for tidal barrage generation, based on modelling of operational modes for the proposed 8 GW Severn Barrage scheme in Great Britain. The key finding is that the Effective Load Carrying Capability is very low as a percentage of installed capacity (less than 10% for the example presented here). This is because of the high probability of having zero available output at time of peak demand, if peak demand occurs on the wrong part of the tidal cycle; this result may be explained transparently using a simple two-state model of the barrage. The prospects for building a probabilistic model of tidal barrage availability are also discussed.",

author = "J Radtke and S Couch and C Dent",

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language = "English",

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AU - Radtke, J

AU - Couch, S

AU - Dent, C

PY - 2010

Y1 - 2010

N2 - This paper presents for the first time a detailed capacity value calculation for tidal barrage generation, based on modelling of operational modes for the proposed 8 GW Severn Barrage scheme in Great Britain. The key finding is that the Effective Load Carrying Capability is very low as a percentage of installed capacity (less than 10% for the example presented here). This is because of the high probability of having zero available output at time of peak demand, if peak demand occurs on the wrong part of the tidal cycle; this result may be explained transparently using a simple two-state model of the barrage. The prospects for building a probabilistic model of tidal barrage availability are also discussed.

AB - This paper presents for the first time a detailed capacity value calculation for tidal barrage generation, based on modelling of operational modes for the proposed 8 GW Severn Barrage scheme in Great Britain. The key finding is that the Effective Load Carrying Capability is very low as a percentage of installed capacity (less than 10% for the example presented here). This is because of the high probability of having zero available output at time of peak demand, if peak demand occurs on the wrong part of the tidal cycle; this result may be explained transparently using a simple two-state model of the barrage. The prospects for building a probabilistic model of tidal barrage availability are also discussed.

U2 - 10.1109/PMAPS.2010.5528894

DO - 10.1109/PMAPS.2010.5528894

M3 - Conference contribution

BT - IEEE 11th International Conference on Probabilistic Methods Applied to Power Systems (PMAPS)

PB - Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE)

CY - Singapore

ER -

Capacity value of large tidal barrages

Abstract

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