Climate change risk and the cost of mortgage credit

Duc Duy Nguyen, Steven Ongena*, Shusen Qi, Vathunyoo Sila

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

We show that lenders charge higher interest rates for mortgages on properties exposed to a greater risk of sea level rise (SLR). This SLR premium is not evident in short-term loans and is not related to borrowers’ short-term realized default or creditworthiness. Further, the SLR premium is smaller when the consequences of climate change are less salient and in areas with more climate change deniers. Overall, our results suggest that mortgage lenders view the risk of SLR as a long-term risk, and that attention and beliefs are potential barriers through which SLR risk is priced in residential mortgage markets.
Original languageEnglish
Article numberrfac013
JournalReview of Finance
Early online date4 Mar 2022
DOIs
Publication statusE-pub ahead of print - 4 Mar 2022

Keywords

  • bank loans
  • residential mortgages
  • climate change risk
  • sea level rise
  • securitization

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