Cognitive change before old age (11 to 70) predicts cognitive change during old age (70 to 82)

Federica Conte; Judith A. Okely; Olivia Hamilton; Janie Corley; Danielle Page; Paul Redmond; Adele M. Taylor; Tom C. Russ; Ian J Deary; Simon R. Cox

doi:10.1177/09567976221100264

Cognitive change before old age (11 to 70) predicts cognitive change during old age (70 to 82)

Federica Conte^*, Judith A. Okely, Olivia Hamilton, Janie Corley, Danielle Page, Paul Redmond, Adele M. Taylor, Tom C. Russ, Ian J Deary, Simon R. Cox^*

^*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

Abstract

Identifying predictors of cognitive decline within older age helps to understand its mechanisms and to identify those at greater risk. Here we examine how cognitive change from 11 to 70 years is associated with cognitive change within older age (70 to 82 years) in the Lothian Birth Cohort 1936 longitudinal study (N=1091 at recruitment). Using latent growth curve models, we estimate rates of change from age 70 to 82 in general cognitive ability (g) and in three cognitive domains: visuospatial, memory and processing speed. g accounted for 71.3% of interindividual change variance. Greater 11-70 cognitive gain predicted slower decline in g over 12 subsequent years (β = .163, p = .001), independently of cognitive level in childhood and at age 70, and domain-specific change beyond g. These results contribute toward identifying people at higher risk of age-related cognitive decline.

Original language	English
Pages (from-to)	1-15
Journal	Psychological Science
Early online date	15 Sep 2022
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1177/09567976221100264
Publication status	E-pub ahead of print - 15 Sep 2022

Keywords

cognitive development
intelligence
individual dofferences
statistical analysis
cognitive ability

Access to Document

10.1177/09567976221100264Licence: Creative Commons: Attribution (CC-BY)

ConteEtalPS2022CognitiveChangeBeforeOldFinal published version, 1.49 MBLicence: Creative Commons: Attribution (CC-BY)

Brain imaging and cognitive ageing in the Lothian Birth Cohort 1936: III
Wardlaw, J., Bastin, M. & Deary, I.
MRC
1/05/15 → 30/04/19
Project: Research
Stratifying Resilience and Depression Longitudinally
McIntosh, A., Deary, I., Evans, K., Haley, C. & Porteous, D.
UK-based charities
1/01/15 → 30/06/21
Project: Research
Brain White mater imaging and cognitive ageing in the Lothian Birth Cohort of 1936:II
Deary, I., Bastin, M., Penke, L., Starr, J. & Wardlaw, J.
MRC
8/06/11 → 7/03/15
Project: Research

Cite this

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title = "Cognitive change before old age (11 to 70) predicts cognitive change during old age (70 to 82)",

abstract = "Identifying predictors of cognitive decline within older age helps to understand its mechanisms and to identify those at greater risk. Here we examine how cognitive change from 11 to 70 years is associated with cognitive change within older age (70 to 82 years) in the Lothian Birth Cohort 1936 longitudinal study (N=1091 at recruitment). Using latent growth curve models, we estimate rates of change from age 70 to 82 in general cognitive ability (g) and in three cognitive domains: visuospatial, memory and processing speed. g accounted for 71.3% of interindividual change variance. Greater 11-70 cognitive gain predicted slower decline in g over 12 subsequent years (β = .163, p = .001), independently of cognitive level in childhood and at age 70, and domain-specific change beyond g. These results contribute toward identifying people at higher risk of age-related cognitive decline.",

keywords = "cognitive development, intelligence, individual dofferences, statistical analysis, cognitive ability",

author = "Federica Conte and Okely, {Judith A.} and Olivia Hamilton and Janie Corley and Danielle Page and Paul Redmond and Taylor, {Adele M.} and Russ, {Tom C.} and Deary, {Ian J} and Cox, {Simon R.}",

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year = "2022",

month = sep,

day = "15",

doi = "10.1177/09567976221100264",

language = "English",

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journal = "Psychological Science",

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T1 - Cognitive change before old age (11 to 70) predicts cognitive change during old age (70 to 82)

AU - Conte, Federica

AU - Okely, Judith A.

AU - Hamilton, Olivia

AU - Corley, Janie

AU - Page, Danielle

AU - Redmond, Paul

AU - Taylor, Adele M.

AU - Russ, Tom C.

AU - Deary, Ian J

AU - Cox, Simon R.

PY - 2022/9/15

Y1 - 2022/9/15

N2 - Identifying predictors of cognitive decline within older age helps to understand its mechanisms and to identify those at greater risk. Here we examine how cognitive change from 11 to 70 years is associated with cognitive change within older age (70 to 82 years) in the Lothian Birth Cohort 1936 longitudinal study (N=1091 at recruitment). Using latent growth curve models, we estimate rates of change from age 70 to 82 in general cognitive ability (g) and in three cognitive domains: visuospatial, memory and processing speed. g accounted for 71.3% of interindividual change variance. Greater 11-70 cognitive gain predicted slower decline in g over 12 subsequent years (β = .163, p = .001), independently of cognitive level in childhood and at age 70, and domain-specific change beyond g. These results contribute toward identifying people at higher risk of age-related cognitive decline.

AB - Identifying predictors of cognitive decline within older age helps to understand its mechanisms and to identify those at greater risk. Here we examine how cognitive change from 11 to 70 years is associated with cognitive change within older age (70 to 82 years) in the Lothian Birth Cohort 1936 longitudinal study (N=1091 at recruitment). Using latent growth curve models, we estimate rates of change from age 70 to 82 in general cognitive ability (g) and in three cognitive domains: visuospatial, memory and processing speed. g accounted for 71.3% of interindividual change variance. Greater 11-70 cognitive gain predicted slower decline in g over 12 subsequent years (β = .163, p = .001), independently of cognitive level in childhood and at age 70, and domain-specific change beyond g. These results contribute toward identifying people at higher risk of age-related cognitive decline.

KW - cognitive development

KW - intelligence

KW - individual dofferences

KW - statistical analysis

KW - cognitive ability

U2 - 10.1177/09567976221100264

DO - 10.1177/09567976221100264

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EP - 15

JO - Psychological Science

JF - Psychological Science

SN - 0956-7976

ER -

Cognitive change before old age (11 to 70) predicts cognitive change during old age (70 to 82)

Abstract

Keywords

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Projects

Brain imaging and cognitive ageing in the Lothian Birth Cohort 1936: III

Stratifying Resilience and Depression Longitudinally

Brain White mater imaging and cognitive ageing in the Lothian Birth Cohort of 1936:II

Cite this