Correlations between oil and stock markets: A wavelet-based approach

Belen Martin-Barragan, Helena Veiga, Sofia Ramos

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

In a global economy, shocks occurring in one market can spill over to other markets. This paper investigates the impact of oil shocks and stock markets crashes on correlations between stock and oil markets. We test changes in correlations for different time scales with non-overlapping confidence intervals based on estimated wavelet correlations. The results indicate that correlation between oil and stock markets tends to be stable in non-shock periods, around zero, but it changes with oil and financial shocks both at higher and lower frequencies. We find evidence of contagion, in particular during the stock market falls in 2008 and 2011. At low frequencies, the number of correlation breakdowns during oil shocks and stock market crashes is higher and they can be interpreted as shifts in the co-movements of markets.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)212-227
Number of pages16
JournalEconomic Modelling
Volume50
Early online date17 Jul 2015
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Nov 2015

Keywords

  • Contagion
  • Correlations
  • Financial shocks
  • Interdependence
  • International financial markets
  • Oil shocks
  • Stock market returns
  • Wavelets

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