Determinants of global natural gas consumption and import–export flows

Jiandong Chen, Jie Yu, Bowei Ai, Malin Song, Wenxuan Hou

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract / Description of output

Based on the data of the BP Statistical Review of World Energy, this paper constructs the consumption and import–export of natural gas identities. It discusses the drivers of changes in global natural gas consumption and trade flows from2008 to 2015 using the extended logarithmic mean Divisia index. The results show that differences in the natural gas supply and demand across countries or regions, as well as the distribution of energy between the domestic and international markets, can be better explained when natural gas trade movements are considered. By comparing the supply and consumption increment of natural gas, this study finds that only the energy intensity, economic growth, and demographic effects are consistent with each other. The changes in the impact of other effects mainly depend on storage variations and statistical errors. In addition, the primary drivers of the incremental changes in natural gas consumption vary in different countries. They include production scale, import scale, export scale, consumption structure proportion, energy intensity, economic growth, and population and balance effects. Finally, the consumption competitiveness of the liquefied natural gas significantly improved over the examined period.
Original languageEnglish
JournalEnergy Economics
Early online date12 Jul 2018
Publication statusE-pub ahead of print - 12 Jul 2018

Keywords / Materials (for Non-textual outputs)

  • Natural gas consumption
  • Natural gas trade flows
  • Logarithmic mean Divisia index
  • Pipeline natural gas
  • Liquefied natural gas


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