Did household consumption become more volatile?

O. Gorbachev

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract / Description of output

I show that after accounting for predictable variation arising from movements in real interest rates, preferences and income shocks, liquidity constraints and measurement errors, volatility of household consumption in the US increased by 25 percent between 1970 and 2004. The increase was lower than that of volatility of family income. Nonwhite and those with less than 13 years of education, for whom there was no differential increase in income volatility, experienced a significantly larger increase in volatility of household consumption. Substantial differences in wealth and access to credit markets point to the main reason for this divide. JEL: D12, D14, E21, J15
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)2248-2270
Number of pages23
JournalAmerican Economic Review
Volume101
Issue number5
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 Aug 2011

Keywords / Materials (for Non-textual outputs)

  • panel data
  • Euler estimation
  • consumption risk
  • racial divide

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