Abstract
We study investment and disinvestment decisions in situations where there is a time lag d > 0 from the time t when the decision is taken to the time t + d when the decision is implemented. In this paper we apply the probabilistic approach to the combined entry and exit decisions under the Parisian implementation delay. In particular, we prove the independence between Parisian stopping times and a general Brownian motion with drift stopped at the stopping time. Relying on this result, we solve the constrained maximization problem, obtaining an analytic solution to the optimal 'starting' and 'stopping' levels. We compare our results with the instantaneous entry and exit situation, and show that an increase in the uncertainty of the underlying process hastens the decision to invest or disinvest, extending a result of Bar-Ilan and Strange (1996).
Original language | English |
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Pages (from-to) | 1039-1059 |
Number of pages | 21 |
Journal | Journal of Applied Probability |
Volume | 45 |
Issue number | 4 |
DOIs | |
Publication status | Published - Dec 2008 |
Keywords / Materials (for Non-textual outputs)
- Brownian excursion
- implementation delay
- optimal stopping
- Parisian option
- Wald's identity