Evaluation of the NICE mini-GRACE risk scores for acute myocardial infarction using the Myocardial Ischaemia National Audit Project (MINAP) 2003-2009: National Institute for Cardiovascular Outcomes Research (NICOR)

Alexander D Simms, Stephanie Reynolds, Karen Pieper, Paul D Baxter, Brian A Cattle, Phillip D Batin, John I Wilson, John E Deanfield, Robert M West, Keith A A Fox, Alistair S Hall, Christopher P Gale

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the performance of the National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence (NICE) mini-Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) (MG) and adjusted mini-GRACE (AMG) risk scores. DESIGN: Retrospective observational study. SETTING: 215 acute hospitals in England and Wales. PATIENTS: 137 084 patients discharged from hospital with a diagnosis of acute myocardial infarction (AMI) between 2003 and 2009, as recorded in the Myocardial Ischaemia National Audit Project (MINAP). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Model performance indices of calibration accuracy, discriminative and explanatory performance, including net reclassification index (NRI) and integrated discrimination improvement. RESULTS: Of 495 263 index patients hospitalised with AMI, there were 53 196 ST elevation myocardial infarction and 83 888 non-ST elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) (27.7%) cases with complete data for all AMG variables. For AMI, AMG calibration was better than MG calibration (Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness of fit test: p=0.33 vs p
Original languageEnglish
JournalHeart
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2012

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