From flood science to flood policy: The Foresight Future Flooding Project, seven years on.

Edmund Penning-Rowsell, Edward Evans, Jim Hall, Alistair Borthwick

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract / Description of output

The Foresight Future Flooding (FFF) project researched flood risk in the UK to the year 2100 for central government, using scenarios and a national risk assessment model backed by qualitative analysis from panels of some 45 senior scientists. The purpose of this paper is to assess the impact of the project, both nationally and internationally. This paper assesses the impact of the FFF project, both nationally and internationally, using web searches, document analysis, and a questionnaire survey of key actors in the flood risk management policy field.
Findings – It was found that the penetration of the project into professionals’ consciousness was high in relation to other comparable projects and publications, and its impact on policy – both immediately and continuing – was profound. The FFF initiative did not create policy change, however, but facilitated its legitimation, adding impetus to what was already there, as one element of a part-catalytic and part-incremental process of policy evolution.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)190-210
Number of pages21
Journalforesight: The journal of future studies, strategic thinking and policy
Issue number3
Publication statusPublished - 2013

Keywords / Materials (for Non-textual outputs)

  • Floods, United Kingdom, Risk assessment, Risk management, Strategic planning,


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