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Gated Neural Networks for Option Pricing: Rationality by Design

Yongxin Yang, Yu Zheng, Timothy Hospedales

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution

Abstract

We propose a neural network approach to price EU call options that significantly outperforms some existing pricing models and comes with guarantees that its predictions are economically reasonable. To achieve this, we introduce a class of gated neural networks that automatically learn to divide-and-conquer the problem space for robust and accurate pricing. We then derive instantiations of these networks that are ‘rational by design’ in terms of naturally encoding a valid call option surface that enforces no arbitrage principles. This integration of human insight within data-driven learning provides significantly better generalisation in pricing performance due to the encoded inductive bias in the learning, guarantees sanity in the model’s predictions, and provides econometrically useful byproduct such as risk neutral density.
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationThe Thirty-First AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AAAI-17)
PublisherAmerican Association for Artificial Intelligence (AAAI)
Pages52-58
Number of pages7
Publication statusPublished - 10 Feb 2017
EventThirty-First AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence - San Francisco, United States
Duration: 4 Feb 20179 Feb 2017
https://www.aaai.org/Conferences/AAAI/aaai17.php

Publication series

Name
PublisherAAAI
ISSN (Print)2159-5399
ISSN (Electronic)2374-3468

Conference

ConferenceThirty-First AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence
Abbreviated titleAAAI-17
Country/TerritoryUnited States
CitySan Francisco
Period4/02/179/02/17
Internet address

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