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Prospective, population-based studies that recruit participants in mid-life are valuable resources for dementia research. Follow-up in these studies is often through linkage to routinely-collected healthcare datasets. We investigated the accuracy of these datasets for dementia case ascertainment in a validation study using data from UK Biobank—an open access, population-based study of > 500,000 adults aged 40–69 years at recruitment in 2006–2010. From 17,198 UK Biobank participants recruited in Edinburgh, we identified those with ≥ 1 dementia code in their linked primary care, hospital admissions or mortality data and compared their coded diagnoses to clinical expert adjudication of their full-text medical record. We calculated the positive predictive value (PPV, the proportion of cases identified that were true positives) for all-cause dementia, Alzheimer’s disease and vascular dementia for each dataset alone and in combination, and explored algorithmic code combinations to improve PPV. Among 120 participants, PPVs for all-cause dementia were 86.8%, 87.3% and 80.0% for primary care, hospital admissions and mortality data respectively and 82.5% across all datasets. We identified three algorithms that balanced a high PPV with reasonable case ascertainment. For Alzheimer’s disease, PPVs were 74.1% for primary care, 68.2% for hospital admissions, 50.0% for mortality data and 71.4% in combination. PPV for vascular dementia was 43.8% across all sources. UK routinely-collected healthcare data can be used to identify all-cause dementia in prospective studies. PPVs for Alzheimer’s disease and vascular dementia are lower. Further research is required to explore the geographic generalisability of these findings.
|Number of pages||9|
|Journal||European Journal of Epidemiology|
|Early online date||26 Feb 2019|
|Publication status||Published - 15 Jun 2019|
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- 2 Finished
Predicting dementia outcomes using simple, non-invasive assessments: a prospective population-based study.
1/08/16 → 31/07/19
MRC Dementias Platform
1/04/14 → 31/03/20
- Deanery of Clinical Sciences - Senior Clinical Lecturer
- Edinburgh Neuroscience
- Euan MacDonald Centre for Motor Neuron Disease Research
- Anne Rowling Regenerative Neurology Clinic
Person: Academic: Research Active