Job security, asymmetric information, and wage rigidity

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract / Description of output

We consider a labour market with risk averse workers, directed search and asymmetric information in which firms can commit to wage contracts but not to retain workers. The model predicts that in downturns i) there is equal treatment of incumbents and new hires, ii) wages are insensitive to the severity of the downturn, iii) this leads to an amplified employment effect, and iv) wages are determined by forecasts of labour market conditions rather than actual values. By contrast in upswings, new-hire wagesare more attuned to actual conditions than forecasts, whilst incumbent wages remain relatively rigid. We find that these novel predictions are well supported in German administrative data.
Original languageEnglish
Article number104622
JournalEuropean Economic Review
Early online date4 Nov 2023
Publication statusPublished - Jan 2024

Keywords / Materials (for Non-textual outputs)

  • labour contracts
  • business cycle
  • unemployment
  • equal treatement
  • cross-contract restrictions


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