Pre-harvest sugarcane burning: A statistical analysis of the environmental impacts of a regulatory change in the energy sector

F. Valente; M. Laurini

doi:10.1016/j.clet.2021.100255

Pre-harvest sugarcane burning: A statistical analysis of the environmental impacts of a regulatory change in the energy sector

F. Valente, M. Laurini

Business School

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

Abstract / Description of output

We evaluate the efficiency of a regulatory change in sugarcane production (Law N°11.241/2002) that gradually banish the pre-harvest burning in the sugarcane production sector in the São Paulo state in Brazil, analyzing the occurrences of fires detected by satellite. To estimate the spatio-temporal dynamics of fire occurrence we use a structural representation in a log-Gaussian Cox process, decomposing the intensity function in components of trend, seasonality, cycles, covariates and spatial effects. The results have provided evidence that the trend component reflects the consistent reduction in fire occurrences, suggesting the efficiency of the mitigation actions implemented in the São Paulo state, and indicating a permanent advance in the environmental sustainability of this form of renewable energy production.

Original language	English
Article number	100255
Pages (from-to)	1-14
Number of pages	14
Journal	Cleaner Engineering and Technology
Volume	4
Early online date	23 Aug 2021
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.clet.2021.100255
Publication status	Published - Oct 2021

Keywords / Materials (for Non-textual outputs)

sugarcane
regulatory changes
spatio-temporal models
Log-Gaussian Cox process

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10.1016/j.clet.2021.100255Licence: Creative Commons: Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives (CC BY-NC-ND)

ValenteFLauriniM2021CETPreHarvestSugarcaneBurningFinal published version, 14.3 MBLicence: Creative Commons: Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives (CC BY-NC-ND)

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title = "Pre-harvest sugarcane burning: A statistical analysis of the environmental impacts of a regulatory change in the energy sector",

abstract = "We evaluate the efficiency of a regulatory change in sugarcane production (Law N°11.241/2002) that gradually banish the pre-harvest burning in the sugarcane production sector in the S{\~a}o Paulo state in Brazil, analyzing the occurrences of fires detected by satellite. To estimate the spatio-temporal dynamics of fire occurrence we use a structural representation in a log-Gaussian Cox process, decomposing the intensity function in components of trend, seasonality, cycles, covariates and spatial effects. The results have provided evidence that the trend component reflects the consistent reduction in fire occurrences, suggesting the efficiency of the mitigation actions implemented in the S{\~a}o Paulo state, and indicating a permanent advance in the environmental sustainability of this form of renewable energy production.",

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author = "F. Valente and M. Laurini",

year = "2021",

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language = "English",

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journal = "Cleaner Engineering and Technology",

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T2 - A statistical analysis of the environmental impacts of a regulatory change in the energy sector

AU - Valente, F.

AU - Laurini, M.

PY - 2021/10

Y1 - 2021/10

N2 - We evaluate the efficiency of a regulatory change in sugarcane production (Law N°11.241/2002) that gradually banish the pre-harvest burning in the sugarcane production sector in the São Paulo state in Brazil, analyzing the occurrences of fires detected by satellite. To estimate the spatio-temporal dynamics of fire occurrence we use a structural representation in a log-Gaussian Cox process, decomposing the intensity function in components of trend, seasonality, cycles, covariates and spatial effects. The results have provided evidence that the trend component reflects the consistent reduction in fire occurrences, suggesting the efficiency of the mitigation actions implemented in the São Paulo state, and indicating a permanent advance in the environmental sustainability of this form of renewable energy production.

AB - We evaluate the efficiency of a regulatory change in sugarcane production (Law N°11.241/2002) that gradually banish the pre-harvest burning in the sugarcane production sector in the São Paulo state in Brazil, analyzing the occurrences of fires detected by satellite. To estimate the spatio-temporal dynamics of fire occurrence we use a structural representation in a log-Gaussian Cox process, decomposing the intensity function in components of trend, seasonality, cycles, covariates and spatial effects. The results have provided evidence that the trend component reflects the consistent reduction in fire occurrences, suggesting the efficiency of the mitigation actions implemented in the São Paulo state, and indicating a permanent advance in the environmental sustainability of this form of renewable energy production.

KW - sugarcane

KW - regulatory changes

KW - spatio-temporal models

KW - Log-Gaussian Cox process

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DO - 10.1016/j.clet.2021.100255

M3 - Article

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VL - 4

SP - 1

EP - 14

JO - Cleaner Engineering and Technology

JF - Cleaner Engineering and Technology

M1 - 100255

ER -

Pre-harvest sugarcane burning: A statistical analysis of the environmental impacts of a regulatory change in the energy sector

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Keywords / Materials (for Non-textual outputs)

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