Precarious Politics and Return Volatility

Maria Boutchkova, A Durnev, H Doshi, A Molchanov

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

We examine how local and global political risks affect industry return volatility. Our central premise is that some industries are more sensitive to political events than others. We find that industries that are more dependent on trade, contract enforcement, and labor exhibit greater return volatility when local political risks are higher. Political uncertainty in countries of trading partners of trade-dependent industries similarly results in greater volatility. Volatility decomposition results indicate that while systematic volatility is associated with domestic political uncertainty, global political risks translate into larger idiosyncratic volatility.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)1111-1154
JournalReview of Financial Studies
Volume25
Issue number4
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2012

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