Real-time monitoring of COVID-19 in Scotland

Giles Calder-Gerver, Stella Mazeri, Samuel Haynes, Camille Simonet, Mark Woolhouse, Helen Brown

Research output: Contribution to journalReview articlepeer-review

Abstract

BACKGROUND: To manage the public health risk posed by COVID-19 and assess the impact of interventions, policymakers must be able to closely monitor the epidemic's trajectory.

METHODS: Here we present a simple methodology based on basic surveillance metrics for monitoring the spread of COVID-19 and its burden on health services in Scotland.

RESULTS: We examine how the dynamics of the epidemic have changed over time and assess the similarities and differences between metrics.

DISCUSSION: We illustrate how our method has been used throughout the epidemic in Scotland, explore potential biases and conclude that our method has proven to be an effective tool for monitoring the epidemic's trajectory.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)S20-S25
JournalJournal of the Royal College of Physicians of Edinburgh
Volume51
Issue numberS1
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 Jun 2021

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