Real-time monitoring of COVID-19 in Scotland

Giles Calder-Gerver; Stella Mazeri; Samuel Haynes; Camille Simonet; Mark Woolhouse; Helen Brown

doi:10.4997/JRCPE.2021.237

Real-time monitoring of COVID-19 in Scotland

Giles Calder-Gerver, Stella Mazeri, Samuel Haynes, Camille Simonet, Mark Woolhouse, Helen Brown

Research output: Contribution to journal › Review article › peer-review

Abstract / Description of output

BACKGROUND: To manage the public health risk posed by COVID-19 and assess the impact of interventions, policymakers must be able to closely monitor the epidemic's trajectory.

METHODS: Here we present a simple methodology based on basic surveillance metrics for monitoring the spread of COVID-19 and its burden on health services in Scotland.

RESULTS: We examine how the dynamics of the epidemic have changed over time and assess the similarities and differences between metrics.

DISCUSSION: We illustrate how our method has been used throughout the epidemic in Scotland, explore potential biases and conclude that our method has proven to be an effective tool for monitoring the epidemic's trajectory.

Original language	English
Pages (from-to)	S20-S25
Journal	Journal of the Royal College of Physicians of Edinburgh
Volume	51
Issue number	S1
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.4997/JRCPE.2021.237
Publication status	Published - 1 Jun 2021

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10.4997/JRCPE.2021.237

jrcpe_51_s1_calder-gerverFinal published version, 3.15 MBLicence: Creative Commons: Attribution (CC-BY)

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title = "Real-time monitoring of COVID-19 in Scotland",

abstract = "BACKGROUND: To manage the public health risk posed by COVID-19 and assess the impact of interventions, policymakers must be able to closely monitor the epidemic's trajectory.METHODS: Here we present a simple methodology based on basic surveillance metrics for monitoring the spread of COVID-19 and its burden on health services in Scotland.RESULTS: We examine how the dynamics of the epidemic have changed over time and assess the similarities and differences between metrics.DISCUSSION: We illustrate how our method has been used throughout the epidemic in Scotland, explore potential biases and conclude that our method has proven to be an effective tool for monitoring the epidemic's trajectory.",

author = "Giles Calder-Gerver and Stella Mazeri and Samuel Haynes and Camille Simonet and Mark Woolhouse and Helen Brown",

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T1 - Real-time monitoring of COVID-19 in Scotland

AU - Calder-Gerver, Giles

AU - Mazeri, Stella

AU - Haynes, Samuel

AU - Simonet, Camille

AU - Woolhouse, Mark

AU - Brown, Helen

PY - 2021/6/1

Y1 - 2021/6/1

N2 - BACKGROUND: To manage the public health risk posed by COVID-19 and assess the impact of interventions, policymakers must be able to closely monitor the epidemic's trajectory.METHODS: Here we present a simple methodology based on basic surveillance metrics for monitoring the spread of COVID-19 and its burden on health services in Scotland.RESULTS: We examine how the dynamics of the epidemic have changed over time and assess the similarities and differences between metrics.DISCUSSION: We illustrate how our method has been used throughout the epidemic in Scotland, explore potential biases and conclude that our method has proven to be an effective tool for monitoring the epidemic's trajectory.

AB - BACKGROUND: To manage the public health risk posed by COVID-19 and assess the impact of interventions, policymakers must be able to closely monitor the epidemic's trajectory.METHODS: Here we present a simple methodology based on basic surveillance metrics for monitoring the spread of COVID-19 and its burden on health services in Scotland.RESULTS: We examine how the dynamics of the epidemic have changed over time and assess the similarities and differences between metrics.DISCUSSION: We illustrate how our method has been used throughout the epidemic in Scotland, explore potential biases and conclude that our method has proven to be an effective tool for monitoring the epidemic's trajectory.

U2 - 10.4997/JRCPE.2021.237

DO - 10.4997/JRCPE.2021.237

M3 - Review article

C2 - 34185034

SN - 1478-2715

VL - 51

SP - S20-S25

JO - Journal of the Royal College of Physicians of Edinburgh

JF - Journal of the Royal College of Physicians of Edinburgh

IS - S1

ER -

Real-time monitoring of COVID-19 in Scotland

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