Abstract / Description of output
Objectives
We undertook a national analysis to characterise and identify risk factors for acute respiratory infections (ARIs) resulting in hospitalisation and death during the winter period in Scotland.
Design
A population-based retrospective cohort analysis
Setting
Scotland
Participants
5.4 million residents in Scotland
Main outcome measures
Cox proportional hazard models were used to estimate adjusted hazard ratios (aHR) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the association between risk factors and ARI hospitalisation.
Results
Between September 1, 2022 and January 31, 2023, there were 22,284 (10.9% of 203,549 with any emergency hospitalisation) ARI hospitalisations (1,759 in children and 20,525 in adults) in Scotland. Compared to the reference group of children aged 6-17 years, the risk of ARI hospitalisation was higher in children aged 3-5 years (aHR=4.55 95%CI (4.11-5.04)). Compared to 25-29 years old, the risk of ARI hospitalisation was highest amongst the oldest adults aged ≥80 years (7.86 (7.06-8.76)). Adults from more deprived areas (most deprived vs least deprived, 1.64 (1.57-1.72)), with existing health conditions (≥5 vs 0 health conditions, 4.84 (4.53-5.18)) or with history of all-cause emergency admissions (≥6 vs 0 previous emergency admissions 7.53 (5.48-10.35)) were at higher risk of ARI hospitalisations. The risk increased by the number of existing health conditions and previous emergency admission. Similar associations were seen in children.
Conclusions
Younger children, older adults, those from more deprived backgrounds and individuals with greater numbers of pre-existing conditions and previous emergency admission were at increased risk for winter hospitalisations for ARI.
We undertook a national analysis to characterise and identify risk factors for acute respiratory infections (ARIs) resulting in hospitalisation and death during the winter period in Scotland.
Design
A population-based retrospective cohort analysis
Setting
Scotland
Participants
5.4 million residents in Scotland
Main outcome measures
Cox proportional hazard models were used to estimate adjusted hazard ratios (aHR) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the association between risk factors and ARI hospitalisation.
Results
Between September 1, 2022 and January 31, 2023, there were 22,284 (10.9% of 203,549 with any emergency hospitalisation) ARI hospitalisations (1,759 in children and 20,525 in adults) in Scotland. Compared to the reference group of children aged 6-17 years, the risk of ARI hospitalisation was higher in children aged 3-5 years (aHR=4.55 95%CI (4.11-5.04)). Compared to 25-29 years old, the risk of ARI hospitalisation was highest amongst the oldest adults aged ≥80 years (7.86 (7.06-8.76)). Adults from more deprived areas (most deprived vs least deprived, 1.64 (1.57-1.72)), with existing health conditions (≥5 vs 0 health conditions, 4.84 (4.53-5.18)) or with history of all-cause emergency admissions (≥6 vs 0 previous emergency admissions 7.53 (5.48-10.35)) were at higher risk of ARI hospitalisations. The risk increased by the number of existing health conditions and previous emergency admission. Similar associations were seen in children.
Conclusions
Younger children, older adults, those from more deprived backgrounds and individuals with greater numbers of pre-existing conditions and previous emergency admission were at increased risk for winter hospitalisations for ARI.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Journal | Journal of the Royal Society of Medicine |
| DOIs | |
| Publication status | Published - 12 Feb 2024 |