Statistical modelling in specific case analysis

C G Aitken; T Connolly; A Gammerman; G Zhang; D Bailey; R Gordon; R Oldfield

doi:10.1016/S1355-0306(96)72610-2

Statistical modelling in specific case analysis

C G Aitken, T Connolly, A Gammerman, G Zhang, D Bailey, R Gordon, R Oldfield

School of Mathematics

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

Abstract / Description of output

In spite of the problems associated with the development of a statistical approach in specific case analysis, the potential of two statistical methods, logistic regression and Bayesian belief networks, has been investigated and found encouraging in the context of a database relating to child murders with a sexual connotation. Continual collaboration between statisticians and detectives would be needed in the collection of the data, the choice and construction of the models, and the interpretation of the results.

Original language	English
Pages (from-to)	245-55
Number of pages	11
Journal	Science & Justice
Volume	36
Issue number	4
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1016/S1355-0306(96)72610-2
Publication status	Published - 1996

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@article{f9124e2718504bda8e0505e40c73c54e,

title = "Statistical modelling in specific case analysis",

abstract = "In spite of the problems associated with the development of a statistical approach in specific case analysis, the potential of two statistical methods, logistic regression and Bayesian belief networks, has been investigated and found encouraging in the context of a database relating to child murders with a sexual connotation. Continual collaboration between statisticians and detectives would be needed in the collection of the data, the choice and construction of the models, and the interpretation of the results.",

author = "Aitken, {C G} and T Connolly and A Gammerman and G Zhang and D Bailey and R Gordon and R Oldfield",

year = "1996",

doi = "10.1016/S1355-0306(96)72610-2",

language = "English",

volume = "36",

pages = "245--55",

journal = "Science & Justice",

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T1 - Statistical modelling in specific case analysis

AU - Aitken, C G

AU - Connolly, T

AU - Gammerman, A

AU - Zhang, G

AU - Bailey, D

AU - Gordon, R

AU - Oldfield, R

PY - 1996

Y1 - 1996

N2 - In spite of the problems associated with the development of a statistical approach in specific case analysis, the potential of two statistical methods, logistic regression and Bayesian belief networks, has been investigated and found encouraging in the context of a database relating to child murders with a sexual connotation. Continual collaboration between statisticians and detectives would be needed in the collection of the data, the choice and construction of the models, and the interpretation of the results.

AB - In spite of the problems associated with the development of a statistical approach in specific case analysis, the potential of two statistical methods, logistic regression and Bayesian belief networks, has been investigated and found encouraging in the context of a database relating to child murders with a sexual connotation. Continual collaboration between statisticians and detectives would be needed in the collection of the data, the choice and construction of the models, and the interpretation of the results.

U2 - 10.1016/S1355-0306(96)72610-2

DO - 10.1016/S1355-0306(96)72610-2

M3 - Article

C2 - 8921747

SN - 1355-0306

VL - 36

SP - 245

EP - 255

JO - Science & Justice

JF - Science & Justice

IS - 4

ER -

Statistical modelling in specific case analysis

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