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Abstract
Epidemiological models assume gravity-like interactions of individuals across space without microfoundations. We combine a simple epidemiological framework with a dynamic model of individual location choice. The model predicts that flows of people across space obey a structural gravity equation. By means of an application to data from Great Britain we show that our structural-gravity framework: provides a rationale for quarantines; offers a clear mapping from observed geography to the spread of a disease; and makes it possible to evaluate the welfare impact of (expected and unexpected) mobility restrictions in the face of a deadly epidemic.
Original language | English |
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Publisher | CEPR Covid Economics |
Pages | 153-173 |
Number of pages | 21 |
Volume | 17 |
Publication status | Published - 9 May 2020 |
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Dive into the research topics of 'The (Structural) Gravity of Epidemics'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.Activities
- 2 Participation in conference
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NBER Summer Institute 2020
Robert Zymek (Speaker)
8 Jul 2020Activity: Participating in or organising an event types › Participation in conference
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Economics of Covid-19
Robert Zymek (Organiser)
16 Jun 2020Activity: Participating in or organising an event types › Participation in conference