Was the extended rainy winter 2018/19 over the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze river driven by anthropogenic forcing?

Zhiyuan Hu, Haiyan Li, Jiawei Liu, Shaobo Qiao*, Dongqian Wang, Nicolas Freychet, Simon F.B. Tett, Buwen Dong, Fraser C. Lott, Qingxiang Li, Wenjie Dong

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

Anthropogenic forcing reduced the probability of rainfall amount in the extended rainy winter of 2018/19 over the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River, China, by ~19%, but exerted no influence on the excessive rainy days, based on HadGEM3-GA6-N216 ensembles. Instead the natural variability played a large and important role in this event.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)E67-E73
JournalBulletin of the American Meteorological Society
Volume102
Issue number1
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Jan 2021

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